Rugby World Cup quarter-final permutations: What Scotland & Ireland need to qualify

Rugby World Cup quarter-final permutations: What Scotland & Ireland need to qualify

Ireland’s Johnny Sexton and Scotland’s Finn Russell face each other in Saturday’s crucial Pool B match in Paris
Venue: France Dates: 8 September to 28 October
Coverage: Full commentary of every game across BBC Radio 5 Live and Radio 5 Live Sports Extra, plus text updates on the BBC Sport website and app.

The pool stage of the 2023 Rugby World Cup is approaching its conclusion, and for the majority of nations there is still plenty to play for.

After every team has played four group games, the top two finishers in each pool of five go through to the quarter-finals on 14 and 15 October.

The sides finishing third in each pool automatically qualify for the 2027 World Cup in Australia, as do the quarter-finalists.

Who plays who in the quarter-finals?

Qualified teams in black

14 October: Quarter-final 1: Winner Pool C v Runner-up Pool D (Stade de Marseille), 16:00 – Wales v Argentina/Japan/Samoa

14 October: Quarter-final 2: Winner Pool B v Runner-up Pool A (Stade de France), 20:00 – South Africa/Ireland/Scotland v New Zealand

15 October: Quarter-final 3: Winner Pool D v Runner-up Pool C (Stade de Marseille), 16:00 – England v Fiji/Australia

15 October: Quarter-final 4: Winner Pool A v Runner-up Pool B (Stade de France), 20:00 – France v Ireland/South Africa/Scotland

World Cup semi-finals

The winners of the games on 14 October play each other in the first semi-final on 20 October and the winners of the matches on 15 October face each other in the last four on 21 October.

World Cup final

The Rugby World Cup winners will be crowned in Paris on 28 October.

Knockout stage permutations

Before all that, the qualifiers from the pools have still to be fully determined.

In the pool stage, teams earn four points for a win and two for a draw. A bonus point is awarded for scoring four tries or for a defeat by seven points or fewer.

If two teams are tied on the same number of points, the winner of the match between those teams will go through regardless of points difference.

All times in the remaining fixtures listed below are BST – here is what each team needs from their final pool matches…

Pool A

Pool A standings: France win the pool with 18 points, New Zealand finish second with 15, Italy are third with 10, Uruguay fourth with five and Namibia are fifth with zero points

France secured top spot and their place in the last eight with a superb 60-7 win over Italy on Friday.

New Zealand finished in second place, having lost to France in the tournament’s opening match.

Italy had to settle for third and automatic qualification for the 2027 World Cup in Australia.

Uruguay had the consolation of one win but Namibia were unable to record a victory.

Pool B

Pool B standings

7 October: Ireland v Scotland (20:00)

8 October: Tonga v Romania (16:45)

The outcome of Ireland v Scotland will determine which two countries will head through from Pool B.

Ireland will top the group if they avoid defeat or lose by seven points or fewer.

A Scotland win, while also denying Andy Farrell’s team a bonus point, would send them through and knock Ireland out.

Should the three teams finish level on 15 points – Scotland win and both they and Ireland get a bonus point – the team with the best points difference will finish top of the group, with second place going to the team that won the match between those two remaining sides.

In this case, Scotland must win by 21 points or more to claim top spot ahead of South Africa.

Ireland would then qualify as runners-up on the head-to-head rule, having beaten South Africa.

If Scotland do not win by such a margin, then South Africa will finish top on points difference and Scotland second on the head-to-head rule.

Pool C

Pool C standings

8 October: Fiji v Portugal (20:00)

Wales scored six tries in a 43-19 victory over Georgia 43-19 on Saturday to secure top spot with four straight wins.

Fiji will join Wales in the quarter-finals if they take one point from their last game against Portugal, having beaten Australia earlier in the pool stage.

If Fiji fail to collect any points, Australia will make it through to the last eight in second spot.

Pool D

Pool D standings

7 October: England v Samoa (16:45)

8 October: Japan v Argentina (12:00)

England’s place in the knockouts was sealed with a match to spare when Samoa, who they face in their final group game, failed to beat Japan on Thursday – meaning Steve Borthwick’s side advance as Pool D winners.

Argentina or Japan will take second spot and meet each other on 8 October to decide which nation will head through to the last eight.

A draw could be enough to secure second place for Japan or Argentina, depending on if either earns a bonus point and Samoa’s result against England. If both get try-scoring bonus points in a draw, Argentina will finish second on points difference.

If neither gets a bonus point in the draw, Samoa must beat England by 29 points while scoring four or more tries to have the best points difference of the three teams to finish second.

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