{"id":22240,"date":"2024-02-28T17:55:35","date_gmt":"2024-02-28T22:55:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/macron-unsettles-nato-allies-even-as-he-seeks-to-rattle-putin\/28\/02\/2024\/"},"modified":"2024-02-28T17:55:35","modified_gmt":"2024-02-28T22:55:35","slug":"macron-unsettles-nato-allies-even-as-he-seeks-to-rattle-putin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/macron-unsettles-nato-allies-even-as-he-seeks-to-rattle-putin\/28\/02\/2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Macron Unsettles NATO Allies Even As He Seeks to Rattle Putin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">With his jolting <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/26\/world\/europe\/europe-ukraine-support-meeting.html?searchResultPosition=1\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">unexpected statement<\/a> that sending Western troops to Ukraine \u201cshould not be ruled out,\u201d President Emmanuel Macron of France has shattered a taboo, ignited debate, spread dismay among allies and forced a reckoning on Europe\u2019s future.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For an embattled leader who loathes lazy thinking, longs for a Europe of military strength and loves the limelight, this was typical enough. It was Mr. Macron, after all, who in 2019 described NATO as suffering from <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/11\/07\/world\/europe\/macron-nato-brain-death.html?searchResultPosition=8\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u201cbrain death\u201d<\/a> and who last year warned Europe against becoming America\u2019s strategic \u201cvassal.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But bold pronouncements are one thing and patiently putting the pieces in place to attain those objectives, another. Mr. Macron has often favored provocation over preparation, even if he often has a point, as in arguing since 2017 that Europe needed to bolster its defense industry to attain greater strategic heft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">This week was no exception. By lurching forward without building consensus among allies, Mr. Macron may have done more to illustrate Western divisions and the limits of how far NATO allies are willing to go in defense of Ukraine than achieve the \u201cstrategic ambiguity\u201d he says is needed to keep President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia guessing.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Macron\u2019s provocation looked in part like a quest for relevance at a time when he is isolated at home and has appeared a marginal figure in the war between Israel and Hamas. France has played a central role in coordinating European Union aid to Ukraine, including a $54 billion program to support Kyiv approved this month, but its own aid contribution lags Germany, Britain and the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Still, for Mr. Macron, the case for \u201cacting differently\u201d in Ukraine, as he put it on Monday after a meeting in Paris of leaders and officials from 27 countries, mostly European, is overwhelming.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">From the start of Russia\u2019s full-scale invasion of Ukraine two years ago, the West has sought to contain the conflict in Ukraine and avoid a shooting war between Russia and NATO that could escalate into a nuclear standoff. Hence the hesitation of his allies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But containment has obvious limitations that have left Ukraine struggling to hold the line against a larger Russian force. Russia has recently taken territory on the eastern front; Ukraine lacks the weapons and ammunition it needs; uncertainty surrounds American support for the war in an election year; and nobody knows where an emboldened Mr. Putin will stop. Given all this, more of the same seems unserious to France.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe defeat of Russia is indispensable to the security and stability of Europe,\u201d Mr. Macron said, dispensing with the cautious Russia-must-not-win formulation favored by the United States and Germany.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Behind the French president\u2019s words lurked exasperation with the apparent strategic impunity afforded to Mr. Putin by the West.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe positive thing is that Macron is trying to introduce a balance of power, and so dissuasion, with Russia \u2014 tell Putin that we are ready for anything, so you should be worried, we won\u2019t give up,\u201d said Nicole Bacharan, a social scientist and expert on the United States at Sciences Po University.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But she also pointed to a cumulative problem for Mr. Macron \u2014 the lack of credibility of a leader who has been on a tortuous wartime strategic journey.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It began with his attempt to involve Russia in a new European \u201carchitecture of security\u201d in 2019, despite the Russian annexation of Crimea five years earlier. This was followed by his statement in 2022 that \u201cwe must not humiliate Russia,\u201d and the long exercise in futility of repeated phone calls to Mr. Putin in the months after the Russian leader\u2019s full-scale invasion.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now it has culminated with the French president in the vanguard of defiance of Mr. Putin, and in effusive concert with President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine, his erstwhile critic. Mr. Zelensky praised Mr. Macron\u2019s idea on Wednesday, saying such initiatives \u201care good for the whole world.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">No wonder some Europeans are rubbing their eyes. \u201cHe gives the impulse but people don\u2019t feel they can trust him to be consistent,\u201d Ms. Bacharan said. Even states that agree with Mr. Macron\u2019s analysis may hesitate in the face of his volatility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Certainly his openness to sending troops was unexpected. In the short term, at least, the result appears to have been more strategic bafflement than \u201cstrategic ambiguity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">His gambit presented Russia with an image of allied division as countries from the United States to Sweden rejected the deployment of troops. It also underlined Franco-German differences on the war as Chancellor Olaf Scholz not only ruled out German forces but any \u201cground troops from European countries or NATO.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cA disaster,\u201d the influential German magazine Der Spiegel said of the differences between the two leaders.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Macron\u2019s mocking denunciation of repeated delays and reversals in Western policy to Ukraine \u2014 \u201cnever, never tanks, never, never planes, never, never long-range missiles\u201d \u2014 appeared particularly provocative to Germany in that France has been among those saying no before saying yes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When France and Germany are at odds, Europe tends to stall, the very thing Mr. Macron does not want in his now almost seven-year quest for greater European \u201cstrategic autonomy\u201d from the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Macron\u2019s vision for an independent European defense appears timelier than ever with Europeans anxious over the possible return to the White House of Donald J. Trump \u2014 and with him, per Mr. Trump\u2019s own telling, a possible wink to Russia to do its worst. The heavy Ukrainian reliance on the United States for weapons has underscored Europe\u2019s ongoing dependence on Washington as the 75th anniversary of NATO approaches this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Yet because frontline states with Russia want America\u2019s continued presence, Mr. Macron has found it hard to sway Europe toward greater independence.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">At home, where his popularity has fallen and he does not command an absolute majority in Parliament, Mr. Macron faced an outcry over an apparent policy shift decided without any national debate, a recurrent issue throughout a highly centralized, top-down presidency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">From the far left to the far right, lawmakers condemned what Olivier Faure, a Socialist, called \u201cthe folly\u201d of a potential war with Russia. Jordan Bardella, the president of the extreme-right National Rally party, which has been close to Moscow, accused Mr. Macron of \u201closing his sang-froid.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Still, nobody answered the fundamental question Mr. Macron has posed: How to stop Russia\u2019s advance and a Ukrainian defeat that would threaten freedom and open societies across Europe.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cMacron eventually understood that dialogue with Russia will go nowhere, and increasing cyberattacks on France and other states convinced him that Putin will not stop in Ukraine,\u201d said Nicolas Tenzer, a political scientist who has long argued for the dispatch of Western troops to Ukraine. \u201cNATO\u2019s credibility and Europe itself are at risk.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In this sense, as Russia advances and a $60 billion American aid package to Ukraine is held up in Congress by Republican opposition, Mr. Macron may have forced a necessary reassessment, especially given the possibility of Mr. Trump\u2019s re-election.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cShould we delegate our future to the American voter?\u201d Mr. Macron asked. \u201cMy response is no, whatever this voter decides.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Doubling down on Mr. Macron\u2019s statement, despite the furor it has caused, a senior official close to him said on Tuesday that, \u201cWe comfort Mr. Putin in his impression that we are weak when we write checks, make statements, send artillery and produce shells, but above all do not want to take any risk ourselves.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">At the same time, said the official, who requested anonymity in keeping with French diplomatic protocol, France remains committed to avoiding \u201ca confrontation between the Alliance and Russia.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">What exactly France has in mind is unclear, but it appears likely that any troops would be sent for purposes that \u201cdo not cross the threshold of belligerence,\u201d as St\u00e9phane S\u00e9journ\u00e9, the foreign minister, put it to the National Assembly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Among these purposes demining, training and assistance in local production of weapons appear possible, all with the aim of defending against further Russian advances, but without participation in any offensive Ukrainian action.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Of course, Russia will define Western \u201cbelligerence\u201d on its own terms. The Kremlin has already warned that Mr. Macron has introduced \u201ca very important new element\u201d that could lead to a direct clash of Russian forces and NATO.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">If Western troops are ever on the ground in Ukraine in any numbers, a Russian rocket or missile that kills any of them could in theory trigger Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, the cornerstone of the Alliance, which says an armed attack on any member \u201cshall be considered an attack against them all.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">It is precisely this path to escalation that President Biden and Chancellor Scholz have been intent on avoiding since the start of the war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The result is that Ukraine has survived but it has not prevailed. For Mr. Macron that, it appears, is not enough.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cEverything is possible if it is useful to achieve our objective,\u201d he said, adding that Europe should act because the fate of Ukraine \u201cdepends on us and it\u2019s what we should do.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/28\/world\/europe\/macron-nato-russia-putin.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With his jolting unexpected statement that sending Western troops to Ukraine &ldquo;should not be ruled out,&rdquo; President Emmanuel Macron of France has<br \/><button class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/macron-unsettles-nato-allies-even-as-he-seeks-to-rattle-putin\/28\/02\/2024\/\">Read More &rsaquo;<\/a><\/button><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22242,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22240"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22240"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22240\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22242"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22240"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22240"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22240"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}