{"id":31978,"date":"2024-06-22T04:42:33","date_gmt":"2024-06-22T08:42:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/putin-came-to-asia-to-disrupt-and-he-succeeded\/22\/06\/2024\/"},"modified":"2024-06-22T04:42:33","modified_gmt":"2024-06-22T08:42:33","slug":"putin-came-to-asia-to-disrupt-and-he-succeeded","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/putin-came-to-asia-to-disrupt-and-he-succeeded\/22\/06\/2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin Came to Asia to Disrupt, and He Succeeded"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Four days in Asia. That\u2019s all President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia needed to anger Washington, undermine Beijing and rattle a collection of Indo-Pacific nations already scrambling to cope with a jumbled world order.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After stops in Pyongyang and Hanoi this week that were draped in Communist red, Mr. Putin left behind a redrawn map of risk in Asia. North Korea sat at the center: a rogue nuclear state that regularly threatens its neighbors, suddenly empowered by Russian promises of sophisticated military aid and a mutual defense pact.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Putin also signed at least a dozen deals with Vietnam \u2014 a country of growing importance for both China and the United States as they vie for influence \u2014 where he insisted that \u201creliable security architecture\u201d could not be built with \u201cclosed military-political blocs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The trip was both defiant and disruptive. It showed that the jockeying for power sometimes framed as a new Cold War between the United States and China is less binary than it might seem, and many countries in the region seemed to emerge from the week with a deeper sense of unease.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Putin\u2019s presence and his threats, bold one minute, vague the next, have added even more complexity to their <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/20\/world\/asia\/putin-north-korea-weapons.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">already difficult calculations<\/a> around security and Great Power competition.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Over the past few years, the Indo-Pacific has been knocked around by a geopolitical shoving match between the United States and China, primarily over China\u2019s claims on Taiwan, and increasingly over heightened Chinese militarization in the South China Sea.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In May, China launched <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/05\/22\/world\/asia\/china-taiwan-drills.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">two days of intense navy and air force drills<\/a> around Taiwan in what it called a form of \u201cstrong punishment.\u201d The exercises came after Taiwan\u2019s new president pledged to defend the sovereignty of the self-governing island that Beijing sees as lost territory.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Just this week, another flashpoint \u2014 the South China Sea \u2014 edged closer to conflict. After months of bitter standoffs in the middle of a turquoise choke point for global trade, a Philippine Navy sailor was <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/17\/world\/asia\/china-philippines-boats-collide.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">injured Monday<\/a> after ships from China and the Philippines collided near a disputed archipelago. Widening the potential ramifications, the Philippines is an ally the United States is treaty-bound to help in case of war.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Many countries in the region were already beefing up their militaries to deal with China\u2019s pressure and the uncertainty over how far the rivalry between the United States and China might go.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Add to those concerns a wave of jitters in the region over the U.S. presidential election, not to mention a new <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/2024\/06\/16\/china-nuclear-arsenal-weapons\/#:~:text=Beijing%20denies%20that%20it%20is,continues%20at%20its%20current%20pace.\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> this month showing that China is in the midst of a \u201csignificant\u201d expansion of its nuclear capabilities, and headaches have become common in the region\u2019s foreign policy circles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now Mr. Putin has induced a few more. With his embrace of North Korea, including his open threat to better arm Kim Jong-un\u2019s military, he has effectively added another potential crisis to Asia\u2019s list of concerns, reigniting old hostilities on the Korean Peninsula..<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Officials in South Korea and Japan \u2014 North Korea\u2019s avowed enemies \u2014 were especially alarmed. Both countries had already been talking about toughening their defenses and growing closer to the United States and each other, particularly since Mr. Kim\u2019s rhetoric has become markedly more hostile toward them in recent months.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Rahm Emanuel, the U.S. ambassador to Japan, described Mr. Putin\u2019s burst of activity in Asia as \u201cyour worst fears come true.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cWhat Russia just did is they told us they are going to be the principal organizers of rogue states that develop nuclear weapons, violate nonproliferation treaties, and allow countries under U.N. sanctions to get outside those sanctions,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Peter Tesch, Australia\u2019s ambassador in Moscow from 2016 to 2019, stressed that Mr. Putin favors keeping the world chaotic because he believes Russia benefits from keeping other countries off-kilter. Disinformation and partnerships with other provocateurs have become Putin doctrine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cHe\u2019s quite happy for Russia to be the smelliest, farting uncle at the barbecue,\u201d Mr. Tesch said. \u201cThe signal is, \u2018Yes I am a disrupter. I can act in ways that increase the complexity of what you\u2019re trying to manage.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">China, North Korea\u2019s largest trading partner and arguably its biggest influence, must also contend with the fallout. That could include pressure to clarify what its \u201cno limits\u201d friendship with Russia means for China\u2019s stated goal of stability on the Korean Peninsula.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Some analysts suggest Mr. Putin had all of this in mind. He may have tightened the bond with Mr. Kim, who greeted him with hugs at the airport, to both scare the United States and signal frustration to China\u2019s leader, Xi Jinping, for not doing more to help Russia win in Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIf Putin cannot get everything he wants from Beijing, he will look to get it elsewhere, and there aren\u2019t a lot of supermarkets that cover his wish list \u2014 arms, labor and a willingness to pick a fight with Washington,\u201d said Samuel Greene, a professor of Russian politics at King\u2019s College London. \u201cIran is one. North Korea is another.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe point is that, while Putin recognizes his dependency on China, he can\u2019t afford to let Beijing dictate the course of the war effort \u2014 because as goes the war, so goes Putin.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">To some degree, Mr. Putin\u2019s trip to Asia was also a potent reminder of Russia\u2019s historic military ties: North Korea, India, and Vietnam are just a few of the countries that have been heavily dependent on Russian hardware for decades, creating links in training and maintenance that keep Moscow deeply embedded in the region.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But even before Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, those ties were fraying: Russia\u2019s arms sales to Southeast Asia dropped to $89 million in 2021, down from $1.2 billion in 2014, according to <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iseas.edu.sg\/articles-commentaries\/iseas-perspective\/2022-47-the-russia-ukraine-war-and-its-potential-impact-on-russias-arms-sales-to-southeast-asia-by-ian-storey\/\" title=\"\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">independent studies<\/a>. A clean break or even significant diversification is what Mr. Putin has sought to delay.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And if Mr. Putin\u2019s gestures toward North Korea do end up fueling an arms race in Asia, Moscow also stands to gain: Weapons from Russia do not just intensify the risk of chaos when shared with a country like North Korea. They also bring in revenue, much needed for a Russian economy that has been squeezed by sanctions, war, inflation and 16 percent interest rates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Putin\u2019s visit to Hanoi focused on deals. The full scope of what was agreed is not clear, but analysts predicted that some would probably emerge later as defense-related, with financing devised to skirt international sanctions \u2014 possibly with payment in the form of oil and gas rights in the South China Sea.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cVietnam hasn\u2019t made a major upgrade to its land forces in years, but supposedly that\u2019s coming,\u201d said Derek Grossman, a senior defense analyst at Rand. \u201cYou may see Vietnam purchase new Russian tanks.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Nguyen The Phuong, who studies Vietnam\u2019s military affairs at the University of New South Wales in Australia, said Vietnam also needs new fighter jets and bigger warships in line with what Beijing uses to mark territory that Hanoi also claims in the South China Sea.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">He added that the high-stakes security dynamics in Asia have put countries like Vietnam in a bind. \u201cWestern weapons are expensive and politically sensitive,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But would Vietnam use new Russian vessels to stand up to China over oil deposits explored with Moscow\u2019s help and claimed by both Beijing and Hanoi?<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For many countries, the Putin tour has raised another round of such aggravating questions. Beijing has clearly sided with Moscow over the war in Ukraine. In May, Mr. Putin visited Beijing, and while his trip to North Korea may bother Mr. Xi, analysts do not expect a major rupture in the relationship.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Angering one leader may risk punishment from another, or both.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cI think there\u2019s some concern about Russia-China ties strengthening,\u201d Mr. Grossman said, \u201cand the potential for both countries to gang up on the smaller and medium-sized ones.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">At a defense conference in Singapore this month, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine said that was already happening. He accused China and Russia of colluding to undermine a peace summit in Switzerland led by Ukraine last week. Only a handful of Asian countries attended.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Motoko Rich<!-- --> contributed reporting from Tokyo.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/22\/world\/asia\/putin-korea-china-disruption.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four days in Asia. That&rsquo;s all President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia needed to anger Washington, undermine Beijing and rattle a collection<br \/><button class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/putin-came-to-asia-to-disrupt-and-he-succeeded\/22\/06\/2024\/\">Read More &rsaquo;<\/a><\/button><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":31980,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31978"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31978\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31980"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}