{"id":46577,"date":"2025-03-26T15:17:10","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T19:17:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/how-russias-tactics-give-them-an-advantage-in-u-s-led-peace-talks\/26\/03\/2025\/"},"modified":"2025-03-26T15:17:10","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T19:17:10","slug":"how-russias-tactics-give-them-an-advantage-in-u-s-led-peace-talks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/how-russias-tactics-give-them-an-advantage-in-u-s-led-peace-talks\/26\/03\/2025\/","title":{"rendered":"How Russia\u2019s Tactics Give Them an Advantage in U.S.-led Peace Talks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u200bUkraine thought it had a deal in place to suspend the fighting in the Black Sea immediately. Russia said economic sanctions would need be lifted first. And the United States didn\u2019t address the question of timing at all, merely repeating President Trump\u2019s broad demand that the killing stop.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The conflicting statements released this week after midlevel cease-fire negotiations in Saudi Arabia were the latest sign of a chaotic process in which, analysts and experts said, the Kremlin appears to be playing for time and getting the upper hand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Trump administration has set out to secure a series of limited cease-fire deals, arguing that the modest agreements will pave the way for a broader truce and eventually a peace deal to end the conflict. But so far, these incremental deals have largely been a way for Russia to win concessions from Ukraine and good will from a White House eager to seen as the peacemaker.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">On Tuesday, Moscow said it would agree to the <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/26\/world\/europe\/russia-ukraine-black-sea-cease-fire.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Black Sea truce<\/a> only if sanctions on its state agriculture bank, Rosselkhozbank, and other restrictions were lifted. If Washington agrees to those terms and pressures European allies to do the same, the proposed Black Sea deal would benefit Moscow more than Kyiv, experts said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The Black Sea negotiations followed another limited agreement brokered by Washington: a 30-day halt in strikes by Russia and Ukraine against energy targets. That deal also benefits Moscow, given the extensive damage Ukrainian strikes have inflicted on oil and gas installations across Russia, and it came with no clear enforcement mechanism. Both sides quickly accused each other of continuing such strikes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">And earlier this month, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/13\/world\/europe\/putin-ceasefire-ukraine-trump.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">effectively rejected<\/a> a proposal for an overall 30-day cease-fire brokered by Washington and Kyiv. Mr. Putin set out conditions, including a freeze on Ukrainian personnel recruitment, military training and arms imports, that would have made Kyiv particularly vulnerable were fighting to resume.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt seems clear that the Russians are stalling, and they are very good at that,\u201d said Daniel Fried, a former top U.S. diplomat and fellow at the Atlantic Council in Washington, who has negotiated with the Russians in the past. \u201cThe Russians are drawing this out and loading it with conditions to send us down a rabbit hole of complexity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump on Tuesday acknowledged the Russian tactic without criticism. He thinks Moscow wants to see an end to the war, he said, \u201cbut it could be that they\u2019re dragging their feet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">He then recalled taking the same approach himself in business negotiations in the past, when he didn\u2019t want to sign a contract but wanted to \u201csort of stay in the game.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">For Russia, staying in the talks has meant raising a series of demands, however unlikely some of them are to be met. Russia framed the proposed Black Sea deal as a way to revive a 2022 U.N.-backed deal that gave it some control over commercial shipping through the sea.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">That deal allowed Ukraine to export its grain through an agreed-upon shipping corridor, but also permitted Russia to inspect all commercial ships to ensure they did not carry weapons. Experts say Russia exploited that provision to stall Ukrainian seaborne exports.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-3\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">After the deal collapsed in 2023, Ukraine successfully pushed the Russian Navy out of the western Black Sea to secure its own shipping corridor. The operation was so successful that seaborne grain exports <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/05\/12\/world\/europe\/ukraine-black-sea-grain-exports.html\" title=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">returned to near-prewar levels<\/a>, above the levels reached during the time of the U.N.-backed deal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Against that backdrop, Kyiv has no interest in acceding to Moscow\u2019s demands, experts say. Mr. Fried noted that for a Black Sea deal to be seen as balanced, it would need to include a clear benefit to Kyiv, such as a commitment by the Russians to halt attacks on the southern port of Odesa or on all Ukrainian agriculture export facilities.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-4\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The White House did not explicitly refer to such a commitment in its statements on Tuesday, which referred only to the elimination of \u201cthe use of force\u201d in the Black Sea.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The conditions set out by the Kremlin on Tuesday introduced the possibility of the United States lifting sanctions as a precondition to Russian action. Mr. Fried said he saw no substantive concession on the Russian side that would merit such a step.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThe Russians have managed to put this on the agenda, which means they have injected sanctions lifting as part of the early negotiating process,\u201d Mr. Fried said. \u201cWhy is it in our interest to do that? What is the reciprocal move we are going to get from the Russians?\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Trump has threatened Russia with consequences if it doesn\u2019t pursue peace, but his administration so far hasn\u2019t followed through. It has instead accepted and repeated Mr. Putin\u2019s statements about wanting to end the conflict and talking up the possibilities of a renewed era of cooperation with Russia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-5\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine said on Tuesday that Moscow\u2019s conditions on the Black Sea deal were further evidence of the Kremlin seeking more concessions while deceiving the United States about its real intentions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-6\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Putin has shown few signs of backing off his aim to subdue Ukraine as a satellite nation under Russia\u2019s thumb. He has regularly said that Russian forces are on the front foot on the battlefield and that a cease-fire would only benefit Kyiv. He does, however, want to continue the Trump administration\u2019s rapid rapprochement with Moscow, pointing to joint economic projects that Russia and the United States could pursue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">The conditions Moscow set on the Black Sea agreement have little chance of being met anytime soon. They included a demand to reconnect the Russian state agriculture bank to the international payment system known as Swift. That would require the cooperation of European countries that have been cut out of the talks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Alexander Kolyandr, a senior fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis, said removing sanctions from the bank would bring significant benefit to Moscow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cThey definitely want a large state-owned bank outside of the sanctions, because the moment you have a financially kosher bank, you can do whatever you want,\u201d he said. \u201cThey can clear transactions; they can move money between countries; they can pay for imports in dollars, which is always cheaper; and they can receive dollars for their exports.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"companionColumn-7\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Even if Moscow, Washington and Kyiv resolve the differences in their statements on the Black Sea deal, the discussed cease-fire would do little more than enshrine the status quo, said Andrey Sizov, director of Sovecon, an agriculture market analysis firm.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Sizov noted that Ukraine has been exporting grain successfully through the Black Sea since late 2023, and Russia has been exporting both oil and grain, even though restrictions have made the activity more expensive for Moscow. He sees the current talks as a formalization of the existing arrangement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt\u2019s not a step ahead,\u201d he said. \u201cIn my view, it shows that progress toward a full truce, toward a full cease-fire, is quite limited, if any.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Constant M\u00e9heut<!-- --> contributed reporting from Kyiv, Ukraine.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"\/><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/03\/26\/world\/europe\/russia-ukraine-us-peace-talks.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8203;Ukraine thought it had a deal in place to suspend the fighting in the Black Sea immediately. Russia said economic sanctions would<br \/><button class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/world\/how-russias-tactics-give-them-an-advantage-in-u-s-led-peace-talks\/26\/03\/2025\/\">Read More &rsaquo;<\/a><\/button><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46578,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2025\/03\/26\/multimedia\/26int-russia-ukraine-assess-01-phfk\/26int-russia-ukraine-assess-01-phfk-facebookJumbo.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46577"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46577\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46578"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newssprinters.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}